Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Skinner 48.0% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 93.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.5%
Neutral zone
Skinner 71.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Horvat
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Skinner
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
5
Horvat
Skinner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
46.8% (222)
+7.9%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
48.7% (78)
+18.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Horvat
Skinner
Home
59.8% (853)
53.8% (169)
Away
53.8% (832)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Horvat
Skinner
P1
55.0%
48.1%
P2
58.3%
47.1%
P3
57.8%
46.9%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |