Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Skinner 48.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 84.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 95.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Coyle
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Coyle
Skinner
Last 8: Coyle 6-2 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
2
Coyle
Skinner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
0
Coyle
Skinner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
46.8% (222)
+5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
48.7% (78)
+18.0%
On power play, Coyle has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Coyle
Skinner
Home
53.3% (512)
53.8% (169)
Away
51.9% (507)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Coyle
Skinner
P1
53.8%
48.1%
P2
47.8%
47.1%
P3
56.7%
46.9%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |