Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.9% vs Skinner 45.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 71.3%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 54.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 54.9%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Jeffrey
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jeffrey
Skinner
Last 5: Jeffrey 2-3 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
3
Jeffrey
Skinner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (197)
41.6% (149)
+4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (17)
40.0% (5)
+24.7%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Jeffrey shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Skinner
Home
49.4% (89)
46.8% (77)
Away
47.8% (136)
37.8% (82)
By Period
Jeffrey
Skinner
P1
47.8%
45.6%
P2
48.7%
40.4%
P3
48.7%
40.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
48.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |