Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Skinner 44.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 79.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 74.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Malkin
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Malkin
Skinner
Last 7: Malkin 4-3 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Skinner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Skinner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
42.3% (1,317)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
52.0% (404)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
33.3% (15)
-1.1%
On even strength, Malkin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Malkin
Skinner
Home
47.6% (5,395)
48.2% (949)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Malkin
Skinner
P1
45.9%
41.6%
P2
46.2%
46.0%
P3
45.2%
46.4%
OT
49.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |