Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 93.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 53.6%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Skinner
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Skinner
Brodziak
Last 6: Skinner 3-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
0
Skinner
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
3
Skinner
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.5% (6,432)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
52.8% (326)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
45.5% (1,344)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Skinner
Brodziak
Home
48.2% (949)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
39.9% (791)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Skinner
Brodziak
P1
41.6%
49.2%
P2
46.0%
50.7%
P3
46.4%
49.5%
OT
23.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |