Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 51.6% vs Brodziak 51.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 93.6%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Skinner
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Skinner
Brodziak
Last 5: Skinner 3-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
0
Skinner
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Skinner
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (200)
53.4% (631)
-5.9%
Power Play
62.0% (100)
40.0% (15)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.3% (121)
-46.3%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Skinner is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Skinner shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Skinner
Brodziak
Home
58.9% (158)
53.9% (410)
Away
44.8% (143)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Skinner
Brodziak
P1
49.0%
53.2%
P2
47.4%
56.1%
P3
59.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |