Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Skinner wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 42.0% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 80.5%
Defensive zone
Skinner 53.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 73.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Skinner
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Skinner
Reasoner
Last 10: Skinner 5-5 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Skinner
Reasoner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
6
Skinner
Reasoner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (135)
56.1% (923)
-19.8%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
56.1% (57)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.2% (278)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Skinner has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Skinner is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Skinner shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Skinner
Reasoner
Home
38.5% (96)
56.9% (627)
Away
34.4% (61)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Skinner
Reasoner
P1
37.0%
52.9%
P2
39.6%
53.8%
P3
34.7%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
36.9%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |