Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 86.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 56.8%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Skinner
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Skinner
Gaustad
Last 10: Skinner 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
2
Skinner
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Skinner
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Skinner
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
58.2% (4,334)
-15.9%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
65.4% (188)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
54.8% (1,290)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Skinner
Gaustad
Home
48.2% (949)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
39.9% (791)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Skinner
Gaustad
P1
41.6%
58.2%
P2
46.0%
56.4%
P3
46.4%
58.3%
OT
23.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |