Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 34.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 42.0% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-22.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Skinner
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Skinner
Gaustad
Last 10: Skinner 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Skinner
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Skinner
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (135)
58.6% (790)
-22.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
66.7% (93)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
61.0% (269)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Skinner has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Skinner is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Skinner shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Skinner
Gaustad
Home
38.5% (96)
60.6% (554)
Away
34.4% (61)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Skinner
Gaustad
P1
37.0%
61.3%
P2
39.6%
55.5%
P3
34.7%
62.3%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
36.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |