Scouting Report
Steve Downie holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Downie 47.5% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 90.0%
Defensive zone
Downie 72.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.8%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Skinner
Downie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
48.1% (131)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
43.7% (71)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Skinner has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Skinner
Downie
Home
48.2% (949)
49.5% (93)
Away
39.9% (791)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Skinner
Downie
P1
41.6%
41.8%
P2
46.0%
38.6%
P3
46.4%
60.0%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%