Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.3% vs Lewis 48.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 59.9%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.2%
Neutral zone
Lewis 54.0%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Skinner
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Skinner
Lewis
Last 6: Skinner 2-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Skinner
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
3
Skinner
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (45)
48.5% (231)
+0.4%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
25.0% (8)
-8.3%
On power play, Lewis has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Skinner is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Skinner shoots left. Lewis is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Skinner
Lewis
Home
44.7% (38)
47.5% (118)
Away
46.2% (13)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Skinner
Lewis
P1
43.8%
44.4%
P2
36.4%
46.2%
P3
66.7%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |