Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.1%). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Simmonds shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Simmonds 46.7% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 86.6%
Defensive zone
Simmonds 63.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.6%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Skinner
Simmonds
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Simmonds
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
45.5% (145)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
45.8% (48)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
36.4% (11)
-3.1%
On power play, Skinner has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Simmonds shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Simmonds is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Skinner
Simmonds
Home
48.2% (949)
50.5% (103)
Away
39.9% (791)
39.6% (101)
By Period
Skinner
Simmonds
P1
41.6%
45.8%
P2
46.0%
53.1%
P3
46.4%
37.3%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Simmonds
50.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%