Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%). Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Welsh wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Welsh 51.3% vs Chaput 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Welsh 65.1%
Defensive zone
Chaput 56.9%
Neutral zone
Chaput 50.1%
Result
Jeremy Welsh favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Welsh
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Welsh
Chaput
Last 5: Welsh 2-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Welsh
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Welsh
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Welsh
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (125)
52.2% (1,168)
+0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (14)
-42.9%
On power play, Chaput has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Welsh is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Welsh shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Welsh
Chaput
Home
53.7% (54)
53.5% (602)
Away
51.4% (72)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Welsh
Chaput
P1
45.5%
48.6%
P2
53.7%
51.6%
P3
55.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Welsh
48.0%▼
52.4%
52.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jeremy Welsh |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jeremy Welsh |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |