Derek MacKenzie vs Jerred Smithson
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Smithson 55.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 72.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 50.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 61.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
MacKenzie
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacKenzie
Smithson
Last 8: MacKenzie 1-7 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
1
MacKenzie
Smithson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
6
MacKenzie
Smithson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Smithson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
57.9% (518)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
40.0% (10)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
50.0% (108)
-1.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
MacKenzie shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Smithson
Home
56.1% (228)
57.8% (306)
Away
52.7% (201)
54.6% (339)
By Period
MacKenzie
Smithson
P1
53.4%
51.8%
P2
55.1%
54.8%
P3
53.9%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |