Derek MacKenzie vs Jerred Smithson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Smithson 56.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 19-5 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 75.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 71.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
MacKenzie
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
19
(24 meetings)
5
19
MacKenzie
Smithson
Last 10: MacKenzie 1-9 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
3
MacKenzie
Smithson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
13
MacKenzie
Smithson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Smithson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
58.4% (1,842)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
55.6% (45)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.6% (443)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Smithson
Home
54.0% (2,527)
58.4% (1,195)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
55.0% (1,150)
By Period
MacKenzie
Smithson
P1
51.9%
55.9%
P2
53.0%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
59.0%
OT
65.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |