Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 45.4% vs Smithson 56.8% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 84.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 76.5%
Neutral zone
Smithson 51.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Benn
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Smithson
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Smithson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
2
Benn
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
59.8% (778)
-14.3%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
54.2% (24)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
49.0% (198)
-3.5%
On power play, Smithson has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Benn is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Benn shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Benn
Smithson
Home
37.8% (90)
59.2% (534)
Away
47.6% (105)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Benn
Smithson
P1
49.1%
56.1%
P2
37.3%
58.0%
P3
45.2%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.1%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |