Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Smithson 56.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.6%
Defensive zone
Smithson 64.6%
Neutral zone
Smithson 50.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Spezza
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spezza
Smithson
Last 8: Spezza 3-5 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Smithson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
2
Spezza
Smithson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
59.8% (778)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
54.2% (24)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
49.0% (198)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Spezza
Smithson
Home
56.6% (532)
59.2% (534)
Away
56.0% (678)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Spezza
Smithson
P1
58.8%
56.1%
P2
59.6%
58.0%
P3
50.4%
58.6%
OT
57.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |