Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Smithson 55.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 66.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 90.1%
Neutral zone
Smithson 76.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Carter
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Carter
Smithson
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
1
Carter
Smithson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
2
Carter
Smithson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
57.9% (518)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
40.0% (10)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.0% (108)
+0.0%
On power play, Carter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Carter is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Carter shoots right. Smithson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Carter
Smithson
Home
52.3% (421)
57.8% (306)
Away
49.0% (353)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Carter
Smithson
P1
55.4%
51.8%
P2
49.1%
54.8%
P3
47.6%
62.0%
OT
58.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |