Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.7% vs Couture 50.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 67.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 60.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Smithson
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smithson
Couture
Last 5: Smithson 2-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Smithson
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Smithson
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (175)
51.0% (839)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.2% (48)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
39.7% (63)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Smithson is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Smithson shoots right. Couture is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Smithson
Couture
Home
63.2% (106)
51.3% (462)
Away
53.6% (110)
49.6% (488)
By Period
Smithson
Couture
P1
69.6%
54.4%
P2
48.3%
49.4%
P3
57.4%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
64.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Logan Couture |