Jerred Smithson vs Marty Reasoner
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Reasoner 51.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 56.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 57.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 52.2%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Smithson
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Smithson
Reasoner
Last 9: Smithson 3-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Smithson
Reasoner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Reasoner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
4
Smithson
Reasoner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
55.3% (244)
+0.2%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
100.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
35.3% (51)
+18.2%
On power play, Reasoner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Smithson
Reasoner
Home
55.4% (249)
50.0% (142)
Away
55.5% (229)
54.8% (157)
By Period
Smithson
Reasoner
P1
55.8%
49.0%
P2
52.6%
60.0%
P3
56.6%
48.5%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |