Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Cullen 53.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 63.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Smithson
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Smithson
Cullen
Last 10: Smithson 7-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
4
Smithson
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
9
1
Smithson
Cullen
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
2
Smithson
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
54.8% (5,371)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
52.3% (421)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
48.0% (953)
+2.6%
On even strength, Smithson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Smithson
Cullen
Home
58.4% (1,195)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Smithson
Cullen
P1
55.9%
54.7%
P2
55.3%
52.8%
P3
59.0%
53.3%
OT
54.2%
62.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |