Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 54.7%). Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Cullen 53.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 67.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 61.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 55.3%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Smithson
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Smithson
Cullen
Last 9: Smithson 6-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Smithson
Cullen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
2
Smithson
Cullen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
56.3% (368)
-0.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
43.8% (48)
+31.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
53.1% (32)
+0.4%
On power play, Smithson has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Cullen is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Smithson
Cullen
Home
55.4% (249)
55.7% (194)
Away
55.5% (229)
53.9% (254)
By Period
Smithson
Cullen
P1
55.8%
60.3%
P2
52.6%
53.4%
P3
56.6%
50.0%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |