Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Smithson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Fisher 51.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 54.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 87.5%
Neutral zone
Smithson 76.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Smithson
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Smithson
Fisher
Last 10: Smithson 8-2 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
5
1
Smithson
Fisher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Fisher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
1
Smithson
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
51.4% (6,100)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
53.8% (1,126)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
48.8% (781)
+1.8%
On even strength, Smithson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Smithson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Smithson shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Smithson
Fisher
Home
58.4% (1,195)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Smithson
Fisher
P1
55.9%
49.6%
P2
55.3%
52.8%
P3
59.0%
52.2%
OT
54.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |