Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.7% vs Fisher 51.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 53.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 85.6%
Neutral zone
Smithson 54.2%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Smithson
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smithson
Fisher
Last 5: Smithson 4-1 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (175)
51.8% (938)
+7.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.9% (115)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
51.6% (93)
+1.0%
On power play, Smithson has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Smithson is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Smithson shoots right. Fisher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Smithson
Fisher
Home
63.2% (106)
53.1% (604)
Away
53.6% (110)
50.7% (542)
By Period
Smithson
Fisher
P1
69.6%
48.0%
P2
48.3%
54.8%
P3
57.4%
52.5%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
64.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |