Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Modano on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Modano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Modano 48.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 77.6%
Defensive zone
Smithson 81.0%
Neutral zone
Smithson 51.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Smithson
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smithson
Modano
Last 5: Smithson 2-3 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Modano
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Modano
0
3
Smithson
Modano
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
47.7% (266)
+10.7%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
100.0% (5)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
0.0% (2)
+50.6%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Modano is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Smithson
Modano
Home
58.4% (1,195)
51.1% (139)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Smithson
Modano
P1
55.9%
52.6%
P2
55.3%
42.3%
P3
59.0%
51.9%
OT
54.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Mike Modano |