Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Koivu 54.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 81.7%
Neutral zone
Smithson 64.2%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Smithson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Smithson
Koivu
Last 10: Smithson 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
7
Smithson
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
11
0
Smithson
Koivu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Smithson
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
54.0% (9,465)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
58.6% (2,100)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
48.9% (1,688)
+1.7%
On even strength, Smithson has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Smithson
Koivu
Home
58.4% (1,195)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Smithson
Koivu
P1
55.9%
53.5%
P2
55.3%
54.6%
P3
59.0%
54.0%
OT
54.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |