Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Horak 43.9% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Smithson 95.2%
Neutral zone
Smithson 92.4%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Smithson
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Smithson
Horak
Last 10: Smithson 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
1
Smithson
Horak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Smithson
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
41.8% (594)
+16.6%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
51.4% (37)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
57.9% (19)
-7.3%
On even strength, Smithson has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Smithson
Horak
Home
58.4% (1,195)
43.7% (325)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Smithson
Horak
P1
55.9%
42.4%
P2
55.3%
44.2%
P3
59.0%
42.6%
OT
54.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |