Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Carter 49.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 68.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 71.8%
Neutral zone
Smithson 50.0%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Smithson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Smithson
Carter
Last 10: Smithson 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Smithson
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Smithson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
50.1% (978)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
60.0% (15)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
46.4% (138)
+4.2%
On even strength, Smithson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Smithson
Carter
Home
58.4% (1,195)
49.0% (506)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Smithson
Carter
P1
55.9%
50.5%
P2
55.3%
48.9%
P3
59.0%
50.0%
OT
54.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |