Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Smithson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 67.0%
Defensive zone
Smithson 96.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 92.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Smithson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Smithson
Getzlaf
Last 10: Smithson 8-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Smithson
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
6
1
Smithson
Getzlaf
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
5
1
Smithson
Getzlaf
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
45.7% (900)
+14.1%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
49.7% (197)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
38.8% (49)
+10.2%
On even strength, Smithson has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Smithson shoots right. Getzlaf is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Smithson
Getzlaf
Home
59.2% (534)
48.0% (548)
Away
55.5% (472)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Smithson
Getzlaf
P1
56.1%
43.3%
P2
58.0%
51.1%
P3
58.6%
42.0%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |