Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.3% vs Nichol 56.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nichol 60.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Smithson 54.2%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Smithson
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Smithson
Nichol
Last 10: Smithson 6-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smithson
Nichol
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (518)
58.0% (371)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (108)
57.3% (75)
-7.3%
On power play, Smithson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Smithson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Smithson shoots right. Nichol is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Smithson
Nichol
Home
57.8% (306)
58.6% (215)
Away
54.6% (339)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Smithson
Nichol
P1
51.8%
56.1%
P2
54.8%
58.4%
P3
62.0%
57.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |