Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Horcoff 48.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Smithson 95.2%
Neutral zone
Smithson 88.8%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Smithson
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Smithson
Horcoff
Last 10: Smithson 8-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smithson
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
1
Smithson
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
0
Smithson
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
51.8% (581)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
43.2% (125)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
38.1% (84)
+10.9%
On power play, Smithson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Smithson shoots right. Horcoff is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Smithson
Horcoff
Home
59.2% (534)
49.2% (384)
Away
55.5% (472)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Smithson
Horcoff
P1
56.1%
45.8%
P2
58.0%
48.4%
P3
58.6%
51.0%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |