Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Smithson wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Brent 51.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Smithson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Smithson 70.0%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Smithson
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Smithson
Brent
Last 10: Smithson 6-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
2
Smithson
Brent
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smithson
Brent
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
48.5% (200)
+7.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
75.0% (16)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
62.5% (24)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Smithson is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Smithson shoots right. Brent is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Smithson
Brent
Home
55.4% (249)
58.6% (116)
Away
55.5% (229)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Smithson
Brent
P1
55.8%
52.3%
P2
52.6%
42.5%
P3
56.6%
59.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |