Jerred Smithson vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Smithson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 89.3%
Defensive zone
Connolly 57.7%
Neutral zone
Connolly 75.9%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Smithson
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Smithson
Connolly
Last 10: Smithson 3-7 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
8
Smithson
Connolly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
1
Smithson
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
47.4% (1,307)
+11.0%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
50.2% (251)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
41.9% (186)
+8.7%
On even strength, Smithson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Smithson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Smithson shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Smithson
Connolly
Home
58.4% (1,195)
48.5% (870)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Smithson
Connolly
P1
55.9%
47.4%
P2
55.3%
47.7%
P3
59.0%
47.0%
OT
54.2%
37.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |