Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wallace shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Wallace 45.8% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 79.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 97.1%
Neutral zone
Smithson 93.7%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Smithson
Wallace
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Smithson
Wallace
Last 5: Smithson 5-0 Wallace
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Wallace
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Wallace
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Wallace
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
37.3% (51)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
50.0% (2)
+0.6%
On even strength, Smithson has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallace shoots right. Smithson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Smithson shoots right. Wallace is 19.0% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Smithson
Wallace
Home
58.4% (1,195)
40.5% (37)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
31.3% (16)
By Period
Smithson
Wallace
P1
55.9%
40.0%
P2
55.3%
40.0%
P3
59.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Wallace
34.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |