Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +25.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wallace shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Wallace 45.4% (+25.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 81.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 95.7%
Neutral zone
Smithson 90.8%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Smithson
Wallace
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Smithson
Wallace
Last 5: Smithson 5-0 Wallace
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Wallace
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Wallace
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Wallace
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
30.0% (30)
+25.5%
On even strength, Smithson has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallace shoots right. Smithson is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Smithson shoots right. Wallace is 15.4% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Smithson
Wallace
Home
55.4% (249)
35.0% (20)
Away
55.5% (229)
20.0% (10)
By Period
Smithson
Wallace
P1
55.8%
30.0%
P2
52.6%
30.8%
P3
56.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Wallace
34.0%▼
37.7%
30.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |