Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 64.9%
Defensive zone
Smithson 90.6%
Neutral zone
Smithson 84.7%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Smithson
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Smithson
Pyatt
Last 6: Smithson 4-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
1
Smithson
Pyatt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Pyatt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
47.2% (922)
+11.2%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
55.0% (20)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
42.0% (174)
+8.6%
On even strength, Smithson has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Pyatt is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Smithson
Pyatt
Home
58.4% (1,195)
48.0% (598)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Smithson
Pyatt
P1
55.9%
47.1%
P2
55.3%
47.6%
P3
59.0%
45.2%
OT
54.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |