Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Pyatt 50.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 86.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 67.4%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Smithson
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Smithson
Pyatt
Last 6: Smithson 4-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
1
Smithson
Pyatt
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Pyatt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
49.2% (260)
+6.3%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
100.0% (5)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
48.0% (25)
+5.5%
On power play, Pyatt has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Pyatt is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Smithson
Pyatt
Home
55.4% (249)
50.9% (167)
Away
55.5% (229)
48.8% (123)
By Period
Smithson
Pyatt
P1
55.8%
52.9%
P2
52.6%
46.0%
P3
56.6%
53.7%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |