Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Zajac 56.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 78.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 66.8%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Smithson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Smithson
Zajac
Last 5: Smithson 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
Smithson
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
56.6% (641)
-1.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
64.9% (148)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
51.1% (92)
+2.4%
On power play, Smithson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Smithson is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Smithson shoots right. Zajac is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Smithson
Zajac
Home
55.4% (249)
57.2% (444)
Away
55.5% (229)
57.7% (437)
By Period
Smithson
Zajac
P1
55.8%
54.4%
P2
52.6%
61.5%
P3
56.6%
56.0%
OT
83.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |