Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Lewis 41.4% (+18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 52.6%
Defensive zone
Smithson 87.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 77.6%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Smithson
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smithson
Lewis
Last 5: Smithson 3-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Smithson
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
39.6% (351)
+20.2%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
60.0% (5)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
33.3% (27)
+15.7%
On even strength, Smithson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Smithson shoots right. Lewis is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Smithson
Lewis
Home
59.2% (534)
38.2% (178)
Away
55.5% (472)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Smithson
Lewis
P1
56.1%
39.9%
P2
58.0%
40.1%
P3
58.6%
36.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |