Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Ennis 41.7% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 96.0%
Neutral zone
Smithson 92.3%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Smithson
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Smithson
Ennis
Last 7: Smithson 7-0 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Ennis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
0
Smithson
Ennis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Ennis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
40.7% (1,404)
+17.7%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
45.5% (167)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
38.1% (21)
+12.5%
On even strength, Smithson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Smithson
Ennis
Home
58.4% (1,195)
43.6% (834)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Smithson
Ennis
P1
55.9%
39.4%
P2
55.3%
43.1%
P3
59.0%
41.7%
OT
54.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |