Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Leino 46.1% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 90.6%
Defensive zone
Leino 52.8%
Neutral zone
Leino 69.2%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Smithson
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Smithson
Leino
Last 6: Smithson 1-5 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leino
1
3
Smithson
Leino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Smithson
Leino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Smithson
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
46.1% (596)
+12.3%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
42.1% (57)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
33.3% (6)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Leino is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Smithson
Leino
Home
58.4% (1,195)
46.1% (334)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Smithson
Leino
P1
55.9%
45.9%
P2
55.3%
44.8%
P3
59.0%
45.6%
OT
54.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | OT | 00:25 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ville Leino |