Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Jost 40.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 59.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 58.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 52.9%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Boqvist
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boqvist
Jost
Last 8: Boqvist 4-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Boqvist
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Boqvist
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
3
1
Boqvist
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,072)
41.0% (2,014)
-4.2%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
34.2% (73)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
35.3% (255)
-4.5%
On power play, Boqvist has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Boqvist shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Jost
Home
36.9% (539)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
36.7% (597)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Boqvist
Jost
P1
38.3%
38.5%
P2
36.2%
41.2%
P3
36.1%
40.9%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |