Aleksander Barkov vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 69.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.7% (586)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
48.1% (52)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
62.5% (8)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Home
57.4% (540)
49.5% (313)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.6%
54.5%
P2
56.6%
51.1%
P3
56.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |