Anze Kopitar vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 71.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
52.8% (670)
+4.1%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
37.5% (32)
+31.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
14.3% (7)
+29.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.4% (774)
52.5% (366)
Away
56.0% (763)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Kopitar
Kotkaniemi
P1
59.4%
53.8%
P2
56.8%
49.2%
P3
55.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
57.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |