Fedor Svechkov vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Svechkov 3-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
0
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
47.3% (207)
-4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
100.0% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Home
41.0% (212)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.7% (226)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
P1
36.1%
51.3%
P2
45.4%
46.1%
P3
46.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |