Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.8%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 68.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
53.5% (6,640)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
56.7% (427)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Home
49.7% (2,194)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
P1
49.8%
55.0%
P2
50.5%
53.3%
P3
47.2%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |