Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Joe Thornton

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor Thornton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 67.8%
Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 67.9%
Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 68.5%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Kotkaniemi Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 8 (12 meetings)
4
8
Kotkaniemi Thornton
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Thornton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Kotkaniemi Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Kotkaniemi Thornton
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
53.5% (6,640)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
57.2% (1,387)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
56.7% (427)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
Home
49.7% (2,194)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Thornton
P1
49.8%
55.0%
P2
50.5%
53.3%
P3
47.2%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
48.0%
49.2%
Thornton
44.0%
46.5%
54.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
May 6, 2021 2 14:39 Defensive Joe Thornton
Apr 28, 2021 2 12:28 Defensive Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019 3 04:50 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019 3 01:16 Offensive Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019 3 01:08 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019 2 18:01 Neutral Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019 2 12:02 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019 2 11:55 Defensive Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019 2 01:48 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019 1 07:00 Neutral Joe Thornton
Dec 2, 2018 2 07:35 Offensive Joe Thornton
Dec 2, 2018 2 00:00 Neutral Joe Thornton