Who wins more faceoffs, Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Joe Thornton?

They are tied 4-4 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Jesperi Kotkaniemi's faceoff record against Joe Thornton?

Jesperi Kotkaniemi is 4-4 against Joe Thornton in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-1, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Joe Thornton?

Jesperi Kotkaniemi is the predicted winner with a 54.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Joe Thornton

Jesperi KotkaniemiL vs Joe ThorntonL

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 44.6% vs Thornton 49.5% (-6.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 68.3%

Defensive zone Thornton 60.0%

Neutral zone Thornton 59.5%

Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.4%

54.4%

45.6%

Kotkaniemi Thornton

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 4 (8 meetings)

Kotkaniemi Thornton

Last 8: Kotkaniemi 4-4 Thornton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Kotkaniemi

Kotkaniemi Thornton

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Thornton

Kotkaniemi Thornton

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Thornton

Kotkaniemi Thornton

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Kotkaniemi

Thornton

Edge

Even Strength

42.6% (270)

48.9% (583)

-6.3%

Power Play

47.4% (19)

52.5% (59)

-5.1%

Penalty Kill

33.3% (3)

58.3% (12)

-25.0%

On penalty kill, Thornton has a +25.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Thornton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (186).

Kotkaniemi shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).

Home / Away

Kotkaniemi

Thornton

Home

42.8% (166)

51.6% (341)

Away

42.9% (126)

47.0% (313)

By Period

Kotkaniemi

Thornton

40.2%

53.9%

45.5%

46.9%

42.7%

47.0%

Final 5 min

36.1%

52.0%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Kotkaniemi

52.0%▲

48.0%

42.8%

Thornton

44.0%▼

46.5%

49.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Oct 24, 2019	3	04:50	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019	3	01:16	Offensive	Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019	3	01:08	Neutral	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019	2	18:01	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019	2	12:02	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019	2	11:55	Defensive	Joe Thornton
Oct 24, 2019	2	01:48	Offensive	Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Oct 24, 2019	1	07:00	Neutral	Joe Thornton

Kotkaniemi's Profile | Thornton's Profile