Jesse Winchester vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.4%). Look for Winchester on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.3%
Defensive zone
Winchester 71.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Winchester
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Winchester
Tavares
Last 10: Winchester 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
4
Winchester
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
54.0% (16,108)
+1.2%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
56.5% (4,283)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
50.6% (620)
+0.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Winchester shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Winchester
Tavares
Home
54.7% (459)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.4% (451)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Winchester
Tavares
P1
47.8%
55.0%
P2
57.8%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
54.1%
OT
57.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |