Jesse Winchester vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Winchester
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Winchester
Staal
Last 8: Winchester 7-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
4
0
Winchester
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
55.9% (14,620)
-0.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
62.7% (1,745)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
48.0% (2,896)
+3.4%
On power play, Staal has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Winchester shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Winchester
Staal
Home
54.7% (459)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.4% (451)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Winchester
Staal
P1
47.8%
55.2%
P2
57.8%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
54.9%
OT
57.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |