Jesse Winchester vs Mikael Backlund
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 52.5% vs Backlund 46.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winchester 67.4%
Defensive zone
Winchester 68.9%
Neutral zone
Winchester 78.5%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Winchester
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Winchester
Backlund
Last 5: Winchester 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
4
0
Winchester
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Winchester
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (177)
45.9% (410)
+10.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
44.8% (29)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (54)
42.9% (56)
+3.4%
On power play, Winchester has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Winchester is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Winchester shoots right. Backlund is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Winchester
Backlund
Home
57.1% (98)
49.3% (217)
Away
51.1% (137)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Winchester
Backlund
P1
44.6%
44.0%
P2
59.3%
49.4%
P3
55.9%
42.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |